Browsed by
Author: Lagu Shop

Sri Lanka’s Foreign Reserves Rebound to $5.5 Billion by April 2024

Sri Lanka’s Foreign Reserves Rebound to $5.5 Billion by April 2024

Sri Lanka’s foreign reserves have bounced back to $5.5 billion by April 2024. This signals a positive trend for the nation’s economic stabilization efforts. The recovery in currency reserves is expected to boost the country’s financial stability.

Foreign Reserves Rebound to $5.5 Billion by April 2024

The World Bank and Asian Development Bank predict positive growth for Sri Lanka in 2024. They project a moderately optimistic outlook over the medium term. The current account may show a slight surplus.

This surplus is likely due to controlled import growth. The revival of tourism and remittances inflows also plays a key role. These factors are vital for strengthening foreign reserves and improving import coverage.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has supported Sri Lanka’s economic recovery. Their Extended Fund Facility has helped build up foreign reserves. The government’s debt restructuring efforts have also been crucial.

These actions have created a more stable financial environment. They have boosted confidence among investors and international partners.

Economic Recovery and Stabilization

Sri Lanka’s economy is showing signs of recovery. GDP growth is projected to turn positive in 2024. The World Bank forecasts a 2.2% growth rate for 2024.

This recovery is backed by the IMF’s $2.9 billion bailout package. The package aims to stabilize the economy and promote reforms.

Inflation Expected to Remain Benign in Medium Term

Inflation in Sri Lanka has dropped significantly. Year-on-year headline inflation fell to 1.3% in September 2023. It rose to 4.0% by the end of 2023 due to supply factors.

Core inflation also decreased, showing low demand pressures. Inflation may change due to new VAT rules in January 2024. However, it should stay low as demand remains weak.

Current Account Surplus Driven by Tourism and Remittances

Sri Lanka’s current account surplus is growing. This is due to strong tourism and remittance inflows. Tourism arrivals topped 700,000 in the first 14 weeks of 2024.

Remittances increased to $572 million in March 2024. These inflows are vital for the country’s balance of payments and foreign reserves.

Sri Lanka tourism and remittances

The boost in tourism and remittances helps offset the economic damage. The long crisis has hurt household finances and business activity. As the economy stabilizes, confidence is expected to grow.

Indicator 2023 2024 (Projected)
GDP Growth -3.5% 2.2%
Inflation (Year-end) 4.0% 4.5%
Tourism Arrivals (Jan-Mar) 270,000 700,000
Remittances (March) $475 million $572 million

Foreign Reserves Rebound to $5.5 Billion by April 2024

Sri Lanka’s official reserves have shown a remarkable recovery. They rose from $1.9 billion in late 2022 to $5.5 billion by April 2024. This excludes a swap facility from the People’s Bank of China.

The IMF Extended Fund Facility of $2.9 billion has played a key role. Approved in March 2023, it has greatly boosted the country’s reserve position.

Improved Balance of Payments Position

Sri Lanka faces a growing trade deficit due to rising import spending. However, net inflows from the services sector, especially tourism, have helped offset this.

A new e-visa system and the Pekoe Trail are set to boost tourism. These initiatives, backed by the EU and USAID, should improve the balance of payments.

IMF Extended Fund Facility Supporting Reserve Buildup

The IMF Extended Fund Facility has been crucial for Sri Lanka’s reserve buildup. The country’s commitment to economic reforms has secured this vital support.

Sri Lanka continues to work with the IMF and other partners. This collaboration is expected to strengthen its reserve position and enhance economic stability.

Debt Restructuring Efforts Paving Way for Financial Stability

Sri Lanka is negotiating debt restructuring with international bondholders. These talks are key to restoring debt sustainability and regaining market access.

The government is working hard to reach agreements with creditors. These efforts are creating a better environment for economic growth and investment.

Indicator Value
Foreign Reserves (April 2024) $5.5 billion
IMF Extended Fund Facility $2.9 billion
GDP Growth Forecast (2024) 2.6%

Conclusion

Sri Lanka’s economy is looking up. Foreign reserves are expected to reach $5.5 billion by April 2024. This signals a positive shift in the nation’s economic outlook.

The country’s GDP growth forecast for 2024 has been revised to 2.6%. This contributes to the South Asian subregion’s expansion. The subregion is projected to grow by 6.3% in 2024 and 6.5% in 2025.

However, risks remain. These include the need for deep debt restructuring and potential reform fatigue. Upcoming elections and the recent economic crisis also pose challenges.

These risks are high in Sri Lanka and other South Asian economies. They face high public debt, weak external reserves, and geopolitical tensions.

Implementing the IMF’s structural reform program is crucial. It will boost investor confidence and attract fresh capital inflows. This will support a stronger economic recovery in the medium term.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka has kept the policy rate at 6 percent. Their medium-term inflation target is 5 percent. Private sector credit growth and lower non-performing loans show a stabilizing financial sector.

The current account deficit is narrowing. Foreign exchange reserves now cover over 4 months of projected imports. Sri Lanka’s economic prospects are improving, despite challenges on the road to recovery.

Discussions with IMF Focus on Taxation and Revenue Goals
Sri Lanka IMF Talks Focus on Tax and Revenue Targets

Sri Lanka IMF Talks Focus on Tax and Revenue Targets

The Sri Lanka economy and IMF are discussing fiscal policies and tax reforms. These talks aim to tackle revenue goals and economic challenges. They’re part of the ongoing IMF agreement.

Key Sri Lankan officials met in Washington recently. The Central Bank Governor, Treasury Secretary, and President’s Economic Advisor attended. They focused on tax parts of the IMF deal, especially VAT and revenue targets.

The Cabinet Spokesperson said the government wants to follow IMF recommendations. This is vital for successful economic reforms in Sri Lanka.

Officials will update the public in an upcoming media briefing. The world and Sri Lankans eagerly await the results. These talks could greatly impact the country’s economic future.

IMF and Sri Lanka Engage in Discussions on Fiscal Policies

The IMF and Sri Lanka are discussing fiscal policies. They aim to align Sri Lanka’s taxation and revenue targets with IMF recommendations. These talks address Sri Lanka’s economic challenges, including tourism decline and foreign reserve depletion.

Cabinet Spokesperson Highlights Aim to Align with IMF Recommendations

Cabinet Spokesperson Vijitha Herath stressed aligning fiscal policies with IMF recommendations. No final decisions have been made yet. The government seeks a path for economic stability and growth.

Meetings in Washington Include Key Sri Lankan Officials

A Sri Lankan delegation is in Washington, DC. The CBSL Governor and Treasury Secretary are part of this group. They’re discussing the IMF program’s continuation under the new Government.

These key officials are negotiating expected tax benefits and revenue measures. These elements will be crucial to the IMF agreement.

Tax Components of IMF Agreement Under Review

The tax components of the IMF agreement are under review. The government wants to provide tax benefits and offset losses. They’re also addressing leakages in the Customs and Excise Department.

Recovering defaulted taxes is on the agenda. Leveraging GDP growth for additional revenue is also being considered.

Discussions with IMF Focus on Taxation and Revenue Goals

Sri Lanka is in talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) about taxation and revenue targets. The focus is on boosting revenue collection while providing tax benefits to support growth. These measures aim to ease the burden on citizens.

Value Added Tax (VAT) and Revenue Targets Central to Talks

The Value Added Tax (VAT) system is a key topic in the discussions. The government may offer VAT exemptions for essential items to help citizens. However, this must be balanced with meeting revenue targets.

Tax avoidance practices cost countries between 100-240 billion USD annually. Sri Lanka aims to optimize its VAT structure to minimize losses while offering targeted relief.

Sri Lanka Seeks to Provide Tax Benefits and Offset Losses

Sri Lanka is considering raising the Pay-As-You-Earn (PAYE) Tax threshold. This would provide tax benefits to more taxpayers. The government knows it needs to make up for potential revenue losses.

Developing countries like Sri Lanka rely heavily on corporate income tax. They face a bigger burden from Base Erosion and Profit Shifting (BEPS) practices. Sri Lanka is part of the OECD/G20 Inclusive Framework to address tax avoidance.

Proposed Measures Include Addressing Leakages in Customs and Excise Department

One plan to offset revenue losses is to fix leaks in the Customs and Excise Department. Sri Lanka aims to boost revenue by strengthening enforcement and closing loopholes. Regional tax organizations like SAARC help countries implement effective tax policies.

Recovering Defaulted Taxes and Leveraging GDP Growth for Additional Revenue

Sri Lanka is looking to recover defaulted taxes. They plan to use stricter enforcement and offer incentives for voluntary compliance. This could bring defaulters back into the tax net and increase revenue.

The government also plans to use current GDP growth to generate more tax revenue. As the economy grows, the tax base should widen. This could increase revenue without new taxes.

Reforms and Collaboration: The Path Forward for Sri Lanka and IMF

Sri Lanka faces economic challenges that require collaboration with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The IMF approved a $2.9 billion Extended Fund Facility arrangement for Sri Lanka. This 48-month plan aims to address balance of payments issues and implement structural changes.

Sri Lanka needs a tax policy unit in the Finance Ministry. This unit would advise on tax policies and oversee tax governance. It would focus on direct and indirect taxes, and analyze cost-benefits of new taxes.

The country must strive for a more balanced tax structure. Over 80% of government tax revenue comes from indirect taxes. Multiple corporate tax rates for different industries could promote specific areas.

Sri Lanka must address its debt sustainability. The country aims to negotiate new debt repayment schedules with creditors. Support from China, India, and Japan will aid economic recovery aligned with the IMF programme.

The government must ensure efficient public services and secure food, medicine, and fuel. Two-thirds of Sri Lanka’s energy supply comes from fuel imports. This leaves the nation vulnerable to global energy price shocks.

The IMF calls for stronger social safety nets during fiscal reforms. The government needs to balance public spending, tax revenues, and sustainable foreign borrowing.

By implementing these reforms, Sri Lanka can create a more stable future. This path requires commitment to fiscal consolidation and robust tax policies. With international support, Sri Lanka can overcome its challenges and emerge stronger.

Sri Lanka’s Rupee Closes Stronger at 293.00/20 to the Dollar

Sri Lanka’s Rupee Closes Stronger at 293.00/20 to the Dollar

The Sri Lankan Rupee showed new strength on Wednesday. It closed at 293.00/20 against the US Dollar, up from 293.50/60. This change signals a positive shift in the currency exchange rate.

The forex market performance matches the nation’s ongoing economic recovery efforts. Bond yields stayed steady amid the Rupee appreciation. A bond due 15.12.2026 closed at 10.60/80 percent.

Another bond maturing on 15.12.2027 closed at 11.45/60 percent. This stability in bonds highlights the improving health of the Sri Lankan economy.

Sri Lanka's Rupee Closes Stronger at 293.00/20 to the Dollar

The Rupee’s rise matches a drop in the central bank’s bill stock. As the exchange rate grows, importers may benefit from better rates. This could boost trade and business in the nation.

The Rupee’s growth and steady bond yields paint a good picture. They show Sri Lanka’s economic prospects are improving. The currency’s strength proves that financial measures are working.

Recent Rupee Performance Against the US Dollar

The Sri Lankan rupee is getting stronger against the US dollar. On Thursday, it was 292.80/85 against the dollar, up from 293.00/20 the day before. This shows more trust in the local currency.

Rupee Strengthens to 292.80/85 on Thursday

On Thursday, the rupee opened at 293.05/15 to the dollar. This was the same as Wednesday’s closing rate. The stable exchange rate helps businesses and investors.

The rupee’s rise to 292.80/85 during the day boosted confidence in the local currency. This stability is good for economic growth and investor trust.

Rupee Remains Stable at 293.05/15

The rupee’s steady performance is important to note. Its unchanged opening rate shows consistency. This stability helps maintain investor confidence and supports economic growth.

The dollar’s selling rate fell below Rs. 300 for the first time since June 8, 2023. It reached Rs. 299.35, with a buying rate of Rs. 290.30.

The rupee’s strength against the dollar is good news. It improves Sri Lanka’s economic outlook and ability to attract foreign investment.

Bond Yield Trends in Sri Lanka

Sri Lanka’s bond market shows interesting trends lately. Bond yields remain steady despite the rupee’s rise against the US dollar. Analysts are watching bonds closely to assess the economy and investment chances.

Bond Yields Remain Steady Amid Rupee Appreciation

On October 30, 2024, the January 15, 2027 bond was quoted at 10.79/83 percent. The March 15, 2028 bond recorded yields of 11.70/75. These numbers show a stable bond market as the rupee strengthens.

The rupee’s rise is due to increased foreign investment and a better economic outlook. This stability is noteworthy given the currency’s recent performance.

Treasury Bond Auction Impacts on Yields

The upcoming Treasury Bond auction will likely affect bond yields soon. The central bank plans to issue 95 billion rupees worth of bonds. This auction will reveal demand for government securities and market liquidity.

The auction’s outcome may influence the yield curve. This curve shows the link between bond yields and their maturities. It’s a key indicator for investors.

Investors and analysts will watch bond yields, auctions, and the rupee’s performance closely. Understanding these trends helps market participants make smart decisions. It allows them to navigate Sri Lanka’s bond market with more confidence.

ASPI Surges 15% as Stock Market Recovers in 2024

ASPI Surges 15% as Stock Market Recovers in 2024

The Sri Lankan stock market showed strong recovery in 2024. The All Share Price Index (ASPI) went up a lot in the first half of the year. This was a big moment for the country’s economic bounce back. It showed investors were feeling good about putting their money in Sri Lanka. The rise in the ASPI index was a sign of growing confidence. It also showed the country’s overall economic improvement.

The economy of Sri Lanka is looking up, according to fiscal data. Government revenue jumped from Rs. 1,448 billion in 2022 to Rs. 2,110 billion in 2023. Meanwhile, tax revenue went from Rs. 1,283 billion to Rs. 1,934 billion. At the same time, government spending increased a lot. This was to help the economy grow more.

The country sold less abroad, with exports dropping. However, the tourism sector saw a lot more visitors. This showed the world is trusting Sri Lanka more. There was also a big increase in money sent home by workers abroad. This helped improve the country’s financial health overall.

The recovery of the stock market was helped by better monetary conditions. The interest rates banks charge each other fell significantly. And, the returns on short-term government loans also went down. This made it cheaper for people and companies to borrow money. This likely helped the stock market do well, attracting both local and global investors.

Stock Market Recovers, ASPI Gains 15% in First Half of 2024

The 15% increase in the ASPI shows Sri Lanka’s economic progress. These results are good news. But, we need to watch the world’s political and economic changes too. They could affect the market. Still, this positive change gives hope for a strong market and ongoing investments ahead.

Analyzing the Reasons Behind ASPI’s 15% Climb

The All Share Price Index (ASPI) of the Sri Lankan stock market rose by 15% in 2024. This jump shows the impact of different factors. The foreign investment trends, updated economic policies, and sectoral performance together led to this market upturn.

The Impact of Foreign Investment Trends on ASPI

Foreign investment is key to the Sri Lankan stock market. There’s an ongoing change between money coming in and out. Even with a net foreign outflow in 2024, foreign investors bought LKR 100 million worth. This indicates global trust in some market sectors.

How Economic Policies Influenced the Stock Market Recovery

New economic policies have helped the market find stable ground. The 2024 Fiscal Management Report outlines a focus on spending smart and increasing revenue. These actions helped the Sri Lankan stock market find balance, aiding the ASPI’s rise.

Sectoral Performances Driving ASPI’s Surge

Important sectors like financial services helped push the ASPI up. Sectors such as diversified financials, food, beverage, & tobacco, have seen big growth. They played a major part in the ASPI’s 15% increase in 2024.

Sector Contribution to Turnover Percentage of Total Market Turnover
Banking and Financial Services LKR 662 million 30%
Diversified Financials LKR 403 million 18%
Food, Beverage & Tobacco LKR 400 million 18%
Capital Goods LKR 210 million 9%
Consumer Services LKR 173 million 8%

With market capitalization on the rise, it’s evident that specific investments and policies worked together to lift the ASPI. These efforts show the detailed work needed in Sri Lankan stock market analysis. It illustrates how government, sectoral, and global factors combine to boost the market.

Sri Lankan stock market analysis

Stock Market Recovers, ASPI Gains 15% in First Half of 2024

The financial news from Sri Lanka’s stock market is positive. The All-Share Price Index (ASPI) went up by 15% in the first half of 2024. This shows the market and economy are strong. Investors are showing confidence in different sectors, not just one. Banks and John Keells Holdings made big contributions. The S&P 20 index also went up by about 19%, showing great investment chances in the country.

Local money flowing into the market has helped it recover. This is because investment in bonds is giving lower returns. Also, investors are taking less risk. This change matches well with the good news from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Past financial troubles made the Sri Lankan Rupee drop. But now, the market could go up by 40-60% in the next 18 months. This is if it keeps following the IMF’s advice and gets ongoing investor support.

As people become more hopeful about the market, how Sri Lanka deals with its foreign debt is crucial. If banks do well, we might see changes in the stock market. The market has grown, showing a 9.77% gain recently. Measures of market health look good too. Local players, wealthy individuals, and regular folks have good expectations for mid-2025. They think the market will keep getting better. This is linked to peaceful changes in politics, moving towards the Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP). The story of Sri Lanka’s economic recovery ties into this political shift. This shows the stock market’s rise is also a sign of the country’s overall strength.

Galle Literary Festival Returns to Sri Lanka After 5 Years

Galle Literary Festival Returns to Sri Lanka After 5 Years

The Galle Literary Festival is making a comeback in 2025 after a five-year break. This celebrated event brings together renowned authors, poets, and thinkers from across the globe. The historic coastal city of Galle will once again host this vibrant celebration of literature and arts.

The 12th edition will run from February 6-9, 2025. Literary enthusiasts from near and far have been eagerly waiting for its return since 2024.

The 2024 festival drew over 5,000 visitors, with more international attendees than before. It featured 99 participants, including 25 local authors and 27 international guests.

The event offered a rich experience with more than 180 activities. These included talks, panel discussions, workshops, film screenings, and children’s programs.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Galle Literary Festival, a prominent cultural event in Sri Lanka, returns in 2025 after a five-year hiatus.
  • The 12th edition of the festival will take place from February 6-9, 2025, in the historic coastal city of Galle.
  • The 2024 festival welcomed over 5,000 visitors, with a significant increase in international attendees.
  • The festival featured 99 participants, including local and international authors, poets, and intellectuals.
  • More than 180 events were scheduled during the festival, offering a diverse and engaging experience for attendees.

Galle Literary Festival Announces Dates for 2025

The Galle Literary Festival is set to return in 2025. This major South Asian literature event will be held from February 6-9, 2025. The historic city of Galle, Sri Lanka, will host the 12th edition of this prestigious book festival.

12th Edition Set for February 6-9, 2025

The Galle Literary Festival prepares for its 12th edition. Harper’s Bazaar Magazine UK named it the “No.1 Literary Festival in the world” in 2011. The festival dates align with Sri Lanka’s Independence Day on February 4th.

This timing allows attendees to enjoy both the literary event and cultural celebrations. Visitors can explore Sri Lanka’s rich heritage alongside the book festival.

Festival Expects Significant Increase in Attendees

The 2025 edition aims to attract more literature fans from around the world. Organizers expect a surge in visitors after the festival’s successful 2024 return. They’re focusing on drawing attendees from India, the Middle East, and Europe.

The festival showcases the best of South Asian literature. It also provides a platform for writers’ retreats, adding to its appeal.

Year International Writers Sri Lankan Writers Total Events
2024 40 50 70+
2025 (Projected) 60 75 100+

Curating a Vibrant and Thought-Provoking Program

The Galle Literary Festival 2025 promises an exciting lineup of events. Organizers are planning panel discussions, workshops, and creative experiences. These events will explore current global issues through literature.

The festival focuses on South Asian literature and meaningful conversations. It aims to bring together writers, readers, and thinkers. Attendees can engage in intellectual discussions and cultural exchanges.

Sri Lanka’s Galle Literary Festival Returns After Five-Year Hiatus

The Galle Lit Fest made a triumphant comeback in 2024 after five years. This 11th edition attracted over 5,000 book enthusiasts from January 25th to 28th. Attendees dove into the vibrant world of literature once again.

The 2024 festival featured 99 key figures, including 25 local and 12 diaspora authors. It also hosted 27 international participants, 9 chefs, and 24 moderators. With 180 events, the festival covered topics from Sri Lankan literature to global history.

The lineup included discussions on engaging the next generation with nature. The diverse programming offered something for everyone, making it a must-attend event.

Positive Feedback from 2024 Edition

Attendees and authors praised the Galle Lit Fest for its diverse programming. The festival issued 5,392 tickets, with nearly half of all events sold out. This showed strong enthusiasm and support for the beloved literary event.

Attendee Feedback Author Feedback
“An incredible celebration of literature and culture” “Probably the best literary festival in the world” – Sebastian Faulks
“A truly enriching experience” “The best festival I’ve ever been to, not just for literature but the arts as a whole” – Vidura BR
“Can’t wait for the next edition!” “One of the most stimulating, fun and beautiful festivals I have ever attended” – Moni Mohsin

Headlining Authors Praise the Festival

Headlining authors gave glowing reviews of the Galle Literary Festival. Mary Beard, Sebastian Faulks, Christina Lamb, and Anthony Horowitz attended the event. Alexander McCall Smith also joined, sharing insights with eager audiences.

The Festival Director highlighted the event’s role in promoting Galle and Sri Lanka. It has become a hub for creative travelers and literary enthusiasts. The festival also aims to foster a reading culture in the region.

The Galle Lit Fest continues to grow and evolve. It showcases the enduring power of Sri Lankan literature and its global appeal.

Conclusion

The Galle Literary Festival’s 2025 edition promises to be exciting. Founder Geoffrey Dobbs reaffirms its commitment to learning and cultural exchange through literature and arts. The festival seeks partnerships to make Galle a hub for education and development.

This event goes beyond literature. It creates a platform for discussions on current issues and human rights in Sri Lanka. The festival invites international writers to highlight challenges faced by cultural workers and activists.

The festival aims to foster dialogue among moderates from all communities. It focuses on social and political matters to promote understanding. With increased international participation, the event solidifies its position in South Asia.

The Galle Literary Festival continues to grow and evolve. It remains true to its core values of education and cultural exchange. Through literature, it promotes progress in Sri Lanka and beyond.